NYK 104-110 CLE, October 28, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. CLE beat NYK 110-104, but NYK's shots were worth 113.8 points to CLE's 112.0.

NYK 104-110 CLE, October 28, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
NYK908999.315/1814.5104113.8
CLE829093.620/2418.4110112.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.