MIA 106-98 DET, October 28, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat DET 106-98, and MIA's shots were worth 117.9 points to DET's 116.8.

MIA 106-98 DET, October 28, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	88	91	101.5	15/20	16.4	106	117.9
DET	91	84	103.0	14/17	13.9	98	116.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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