BOS 119-108 MIL, October 28, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. BOS beat MIL 119-108, but MIL's shots were worth 109.9 points to BOS's 102.6.

BOS 119-108 MIL, October 28, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BOS	87	104	87.7	15/19	14.9	119	102.6
MIL	82	82	84.2	26/31	25.7	108	109.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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