ATL 119-121 WAS, October 28, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. WAS beat ATL 121-119, but ATL's shots were worth 119.0 points to WAS's 116.4.

ATL 119-121 WAS, October 28, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	81	93	91.7	26/36	27.2	119	119.0
WAS	91	103	99.6	18/22	16.7	121	116.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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