ORL 119-115 IND, October 28, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat IND 119-115, and ORL's shots were worth 121.8 points to IND's 115.7.

ORL 119-115 IND, October 28, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	83	91	93.3	28/38	28.5	119	121.8
IND	88	95	92.0	20/30	23.6	115	115.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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