OKC 128-104 ATL, October 27, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat ATL 128-104, and OKC's shots were worth 129.3 points to ATL's 117.8.

OKC 128-104 ATL, October 27, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	89	104	103.2	24/32	26.1	128	129.3
ATL	91	82	95.0	22/29	22.7	104	117.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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