IND 114-118 PHI, October 27, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PHI beat IND 118-114, and PHI's shots were worth 122.7 points to IND's 110.9.

IND 114-118 PHI, October 27, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	84	91	83.7	23/34	27.2	114	110.9
PHI	98	95	98.1	23/31	24.6	118	122.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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