LAL 131-127 SAC, October 26, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LAL beat SAC 131-127, and LAL's shots were worth 119.8 points to SAC's 117.9.

LAL 131-127 SAC, October 26, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LAL92110101.121/2418.7131119.8
SAC8810598.122/2519.9127117.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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