No. SAS beat HOU 109-106, but HOU's shots were worth 116.9 points to SAS's 116.5.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAS | 79 | 86 | 94.5 | 23/28 | 22.1 | 109 | 116.5 |
| HOU | 92 | 89 | 100.9 | 17/21 | 16.1 | 106 | 116.9 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
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