MEM 124-111 ORL, October 26, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MEM beat ORL 124-111, but ORL's shots were worth 115.6 points to MEM's 115.3.

MEM 124-111 ORL, October 26, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	86	105	96.3	19/24	19.0	124	115.3
ORL	87	91	93.6	20/28	21.9	111	115.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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