WAS 116-135 CLE, October 26, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. CLE beat WAS 135-116, but WAS's shots were worth 125.3 points to CLE's 123.2.

WAS 116-135 CLE, October 26, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
WAS	96	89	101.6	27/32	23.7	116	125.3
CLE	88	112	97.6	23/34	25.6	135	123.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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