CHA 106-114 MIA, October 26, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat CHA 114-106, and MIA's shots were worth 115.2 points to CHA's 110.9.

CHA 106-114 MIA, October 26, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHA	89	91	94.0	15/21	16.9	106	110.9
MIA	86	94	91.8	20/28	23.4	114	115.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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