MIL 122-133 CHI, October 25, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. CHI beat MIL 133-122, but MIL's shots were worth 118.0 points to CHI's 117.0.

MIL 122-133 CHI, October 25, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	93	105	100.4	17/25	17.6	122	118.0
CHI	96	113	98.5	20/23	18.5	133	117.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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