ATL 125-120 CHA, October 25, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. ATL beat CHA 125-120, but CHA's shots were worth 129.6 points to ATL's 119.9.

ATL 125-120 CHA, October 25, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	81	92	89.3	33/38	30.6	125	119.9
CHA	96	95	104.8	25/31	24.8	120	129.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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