TOR 115-107 PHI, October 25, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. TOR beat PHI 115-107, and TOR's shots were worth 125.1 points to PHI's 120.0.

TOR 115-107 PHI, October 25, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	76	76	90.5	39/46	34.6	115	125.1
PHI	76	67	79.8	40/53	40.2	107	120.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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