SAC 115-117 MIN, October 24, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat SAC 117-115, but SAC's shots were worth 106.2 points to MIN's 98.3.

SAC 115-117 MIN, October 24, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAC	82	87	77.7	28/35	28.5	115	106.2
MIN	86	102	84.7	15/17	13.5	117	98.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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