DEN 87-102 OKC, October 24, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. OKC beat DEN 102-87, but DEN's shots were worth 127.3 points to OKC's 123.2.

DEN 87-102 OKC, October 24, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	98	77	116.5	10/14	10.8	87	127.3
OKC	101	94	113.4	8/12	9.8	102	123.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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