WAS 102-122 BOS, October 24, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. BOS beat WAS 122-102, but WAS's shots were worth 119.2 points to BOS's 116.4.

WAS 102-122 BOS, October 24, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
WAS	95	89	105.0	13/18	14.1	102	119.2
BOS	90	101	94.8	21/27	21.7	122	116.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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