POR 104-140 GSW, October 23, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat POR 140-104, and GSW's shots were worth 138.4 points to POR's 128.7.

POR 104-140 GSW, October 23, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
POR9280105.924/3022.8104128.7
GSW93116116.024/3022.4140138.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.