LAC 113-116 PHX, October 23, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat LAC 116-113, but LAC's shots were worth 124.4 points to PHX's 107.5.

LAC 113-116 PHX, October 23, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAC	92	92	100.9	21/30	23.5	113	124.4
PHX	78	91	81.4	25/34	26.2	116	107.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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