UTA 124-126 MEM, October 23, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MEM beat UTA 126-124, but UTA's shots were worth 122.3 points to MEM's 121.6.

UTA 124-126 MEM, October 23, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
UTA	85	90	86.2	34/45	36.2	124	122.3
MEM	91	103	96.3	23/32	25.2	126	121.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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