NOP 123-111 CHI, October 23, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. NOP beat CHI 123-111, and NOP's shots were worth 123.2 points to CHI's 119.0.

NOP 123-111 CHI, October 23, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	97	104	106.8	19/21	16.5	123	123.2
CHI	86	94	99.2	17/25	19.9	111	119.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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