HOU 105-110 CHA, October 23, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. CHA beat HOU 110-105, but HOU's shots were worth 123.5 points to CHA's 110.2.

HOU 105-110 CHA, October 23, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	103	89	108.2	16/20	15.3	105	123.5
CHA	85	91	90.8	19/24	19.3	110	110.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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