MIA 97-116 ORL, October 23, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat MIA 116-97, and ORL's shots were worth 129.7 points to MIA's 112.4.

MIA 97-116 ORL, October 23, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	82	75	89.3	22/29	23.1	97	112.4
ORL	96	100	112.7	16/22	17.0	116	129.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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