SAC 120-111 HOU, December 3, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAC beat HOU 120-111, and SAC's shots were worth 115.6 points to HOU's 112.7.

SAC 120-111 HOU, December 3, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
SAC9110899.912/2015.7120115.6
HOU939697.315/2115.4111112.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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