PHX 104-93 SAS, December 3, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat SAS 104-93, but SAS's shots were worth 118.7 points to PHX's 97.2.

PHX 104-93 SAS, December 3, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	78	87	80.4	17/21	16.8	104	97.2
SAS	100	78	103.6	15/20	15.1	93	118.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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