DAL 121-116 MEM, December 3, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DAL beat MEM 121-116, and DAL's shots were worth 125.1 points to MEM's 115.7.

DAL 121-116 MEM, December 3, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	81	91	91.2	30/44	33.9	121	125.1
MEM	97	103	104.6	13/14	11.1	116	115.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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