TOR 122-111 IND, December 3, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. TOR beat IND 122-111, but IND's shots were worth 118.2 points to TOR's 113.6.

TOR 122-111 IND, December 3, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	81	101	93.1	21/29	20.5	122	113.6
IND	84	88	96.2	23/28	22.1	111	118.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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