NYK 121-106 ORL, December 3, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. NYK beat ORL 121-106, but ORL's shots were worth 124.5 points to NYK's 110.8.

NYK 121-106 ORL, December 3, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NYK	85	101	94.7	20/20	16.1	121	110.8
ORL	87	85	104.3	21/25	20.2	106	124.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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