POR 115-106 SAC, November 29, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat SAC 115-106, and POR's shots were worth 113.8 points to SAC's 109.1.

POR 115-106 SAC, November 29, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
POR90103102.312/1511.5115113.8
SAC788587.021/2822.0106109.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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