MIA 121-111 TOR, November 29, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat TOR 121-111, and MIA's shots were worth 119.4 points to TOR's 103.7.

MIA 121-111 TOR, November 29, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	94	107	105.5	14/17	14.0	121	119.4
TOR	80	97	91.4	14/17	12.3	111	103.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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