ATL 117-101 CLE, November 29, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. ATL beat CLE 117-101, but CLE's shots were worth 115.9 points to ATL's 107.9.

ATL 117-101 CLE, November 29, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	85	102	93.6	15/18	14.3	117	107.9
CLE	93	87	102.7	14/17	13.3	101	115.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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