PHX 127-100 LAL, November 26, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat LAL 127-100, but LAL's shots were worth 115.8 points to PHX's 114.0.

PHX 127-100 LAL, November 26, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	99	119	106.0	8/10	8.1	127	114.0
LAL	85	82	96.4	18/25	19.4	100	115.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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