UTA 115-128 SAS, November 26, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAS beat UTA 128-115, and SAS's shots were worth 121.8 points to UTA's 108.6.

UTA 115-128 SAS, November 26, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
UTA849992.416/2016.2115108.6
SAS93108101.320/2620.5128121.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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