CHI 136-122 ATL, November 22, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. CHI beat ATL 136-122, but ATL's shots were worth 138.1 points to CHI's 115.3.

CHI 136-122 ATL, November 22, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHI	86	117	98.5	19/21	16.9	136	115.3
ATL	107	108	123.3	14/19	14.8	122	138.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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