MEM 110-122 DEN, November 19, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. DEN beat MEM 122-110, but MEM's shots were worth 139.0 points to DEN's 128.7.

MEM 110-122 DEN, November 19, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	103	91	115.0	19/31	24.0	110	139.0
DEN	100	108	111.3	14/22	17.4	122	128.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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