BOS 120-117 CLE, November 19, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. BOS beat CLE 120-117, but CLE's shots were worth 110.6 points to BOS's 99.8.

BOS 120-117 CLE, November 19, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BOS	86	110	88.5	10/14	11.2	120	99.8
CLE	93	102	97.0	15/17	13.6	117	110.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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