SAC 126-130 MIN, November 15, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat SAC 130-126, but SAC's shots were worth 111.0 points to MIN's 110.5.

SAC 126-130 MIN, November 15, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAC	96	108	95.1	18/20	15.9	126	111.0
MIN	101	116	97.5	14/16	13.0	130	110.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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