GSW 123-118 MEM, November 15, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. GSW beat MEM 123-118, but MEM's shots were worth 127.4 points to GSW's 121.3.

GSW 123-118 MEM, November 15, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	98	105	103.1	18/25	18.3	123	121.3
MEM	103	91	101.4	27/33	26.0	118	127.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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