NOP 101-94 DEN, November 15, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. NOP beat DEN 101-94, but DEN's shots were worth 107.4 points to NOP's 107.0.

NOP 101-94 DEN, November 15, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	87	85	93.5	16/18	13.5	101	107.0
DEN	87	84	99.0	10/11	8.5	94	107.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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