HOU 125-104 LAC, November 15, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. HOU beat LAC 125-104, but LAC's shots were worth 115.7 points to HOU's 112.5.

HOU 125-104 LAC, November 15, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	95	111	99.6	14/18	12.9	125	112.5
LAC	90	78	89.6	26/33	26.1	104	115.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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