ATL 129-117 WAS, November 15, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. ATL beat WAS 129-117, but WAS's shots were worth 135.0 points to ATL's 134.0.

ATL 129-117 WAS, November 15, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	98	104	111.1	25/30	22.9	129	134.0
WAS	106	101	118.2	16/21	16.7	117	135.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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