TOR 95-99 DET, November 15, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. DET beat TOR 99-95, but TOR's shots were worth 125.6 points to DET's 120.6.

TOR 95-99 DET, November 15, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	97	78	109.5	17/22	16.1	95	125.6
DET	95	86	105.6	13/20	15.0	99	120.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.