IND 111-124 MIA, November 15, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat IND 124-111, and MIA's shots were worth 113.1 points to IND's 97.5.

IND 111-124 MIA, November 15, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	86	102	89.1	9/11	8.4	111	97.5
MIA	87	105	94.6	19/23	18.5	124	113.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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