GSW 120-117 DAL, November 12, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat DAL 120-117, and GSW's shots were worth 120.6 points to DAL's 106.2.

GSW 120-117 DAL, November 12, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	94	104	100.7	16/27	19.9	120	120.6
DAL	84	99	87.6	18/24	18.5	117	106.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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