MIL 99-85 TOR, November 12, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIL beat TOR 99-85, and MIL's shots were worth 116.5 points to TOR's 112.7.

MIL 99-85 TOR, November 12, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	94	92	108.5	7/12	8.0	99	116.5
TOR	86	69	96.4	16/20	16.3	85	112.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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