Udine 87-63 Scafati, September 27, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. Udine beat Scafati 87-63, but Scafati's shots were worth 83.7 points to Udine's 82.2.

Udine 87-63 Scafati, September 27, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
Udine698076.87/75.48782.2
Scafati665675.87/117.96383.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.