No. Bologna beat Varese 90-69, but Varese's shots were worth 89.2 points to Bologna's 85.2.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varese | 68 | 59 | 77.3 | 10/16 | 11.9 | 69 | 89.2 |
| Bologna | 59 | 68 | 63.4 | 22/29 | 21.8 | 90 | 85.2 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2026-27
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.