No. Roma beat Udine 81-75, but Udine's shots were worth 95.8 points to Roma's 87.7.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roma | 58 | 62 | 66.6 | 19/28 | 21.1 | 81 | 87.7 |
| Udine | 73 | 57 | 79.1 | 18/22 | 16.7 | 75 | 95.8 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2026-27
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.