Trieste 108-99 Verona, October 25, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. Trieste beat Verona 108-99, but Verona's shots were worth 105.1 points to Trieste's 104.0.

Trieste 108-99 Verona, October 25, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
Trieste	63	82	74.2	26/40	29.8	108	104.0
Verona	71	77	81.6	22/32	23.6	99	105.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Lega Basket Serie A games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.